Last year in December, the entire boxing community witnessed what can be called the most seismic upset of 2024. Jaime Munguia, former WBO light middleweight champ, and the fan-favourite Mexican star, fought Bruno Surace, an unheralded Frenchman who currently stands at an undefeated record of 26-0. It was the sixth round, when the 26-year-old had knocked the hometown hero out, crushing the expectations of the crowd present at Estadio Caliente in Tijuana, Mexico, that night. In routine circumstances, the 44-2 boxer would have had the victory, propelling him toward a shot at the super middleweight title. And, that’s exactly why it was a disheartening moment for many, even earning Brunello The Ring’s Upset of the Year honors.
Now, there was a rematch clause in the fight contract, and Munguia obviously chose to exercise it. In a high-stakes rematch on May 3rd, on the undercard of Canelo Alvarez vs. William Scull, the entire division will have to hold its breath as the two try to emerge victorious in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. This contrasting clash, which is not at all about revenge, will have the 28-year-old trying to reestablish his reputation as the more experienced fighter. At the same time, Surace will try to cement his name amongst the greats in this pivotal showdown. Will Munguia, who is training under Canelo’s coach Eddy Reynoso, reclaim his path to glory? Or will Surace, the underdog-turned-contender who nobody knew until the win, prove that his knockout was no fluke?
Let’s take a deeper look at their stats—from record, age, height, reach, and weight, to their knockout ratios—to understand the odds. Because whoever for Surace, winning this bout would mean a potential match-off against Alvarez, and for Munguia, losing isn’t quite a choice.
Bruno Surace vs Jaime Munguia: Stats Comparison and Prediction
Based on the fighters’ stats and previous record, it is more likely that Jaime Munguia would have an upper edge on Bruno Surace. But then again, those were the predictions for their first bout as well. So, this time, fans would need to be more reasiltic, giving the Frenchman a chance as well. Here is an in-depth comparision and prediction about who might win:
Munguia currently stands tall at a record of 44-2 with 35 knockouts. And, Surace, with 26 fights fought and none lost, and on top of that just 5 knockouts, comes off as inexperienced. So, while the former’s knockout ratio is at 79.5 percent, with a devastating left hook and body attack (as seen in stoppages of John Ryder and Erik Bazinyan), Surace is still low at 19.2 percent. Then, there’s also the factor that Munguia has fought top fighters like Canelo and Sergio Derevyanchenko, making for a strong resume, so, he knows how tough battles are fought.
But, Surace is 2 years younger and may even bring his own fresh perspective to the sport, who knows? Munguia has to train with the mastermind coach Reynoso for his leaky defence. He well exposed that when Alvarez had landed 170 punches in their May 2024 bout, and again when Surace had ended the first fight with one right hand. For Surace, it would have to be that same precision he showed even after the second-down knockdown in the last time he saw Munguia in the ring. Let’s also take a look at what their body physique speaks about the probable outcome just days from now.
Bruno Surace vs Jaime Munguia: height, weight, reach comparison, and more
Here too, nobody would take the points straight off. Because, both Munguia and his French opponent stand at 6 ft. tall, according to Box Live. Though, Surace being a new star, doesn’t have his reach recorded. Since Munguia’s reach is at 72 inches, it is safe to say that that is true for his exactly-the-same-height opponent too.
For weight too, both Surace and Mungioa share it identical. Naturally, because they’re both competing in the same division—super middleweight limited at 168lbs. For their December clash, Surace weighed at 167.2 pounds, and Munguia followed close at 167.4 pounds. Therefore, there is not much room for prediction based on their weights. However, as we discussed above, Munguia stands a strong chance of a comeback, since he’s fought more bouts than Surace.
He is far more experienced, has a high KO ratio compared to Surace, he’s also made adjustments to his training (which might aid him mend his weak points from the first match), and the fact that he can go an entire 12 rounds if he needs to. All of this make his chances of winning at 70 percent, while Surace’s share 30 percent. Munguia would need an improved head movement and strategy, however, in order to better avoid Surace’s powerful right hand. What do you think?
The post Bruno Surace vs Jaime Munguia Stats Comparison and Prediction: Record, Age, Height, Reach, Weight, and Knockout Ratio appeared first on EssentiallySports.
