Fact Check: Did Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Really Sign a $600M 15-Year Extension With Blue Jays? Exploring Viral Tweet

The excitement of a walk-off home run or the crack of the bat isn’t the only thing that makes baseball great. It’s a sport driven by rivalries, predictions, and, of course, rumors. This time, the rumor is about Vladimir Guerrero Jr., the swashbuckling slugger of the Blue Jays who has been dominating since making his Major League debut. However, the most recent buzz centers on his long-term contract with the Jays. While a deal with Toronto seems likely, the claim of a 15-year, $600 million contract is hard to believe.

Doesn’t that sound like it came out of nowhere? Well, that’s because it did. Yet, it still managed to get everyone talking. While this rumor has sparked plenty of curiosity among fans, it’s best to take it with a pinch of salt. Why? Because of the source: “Fax Sports: MLB.” Read that again. It’s a clever imitation of a well-known sports media brand, but it’s just a parody account known for posting satirical content. This Guerrero story is no exception, and there’s absolutely no truth to it.

The Blue Jays and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are still negotiating a contract, with no resolution in sight. Despite spending all six of his MLB seasons with Toronto, the 26-year-old is expected to hit free agency after the 2025 season. Reportedly, he had set a February 18 deadline to reach an extension with the Jays. However, nothing concrete has emerged since.

I think we’re going to sign him. I think we’re going to extend him,” said Mark Shapiro, president and CEO of the Blue Jays, expressing confidence that Guerrero will remain a Blue Jay for the long haul despite ongoing negotiations.

Vladdy Jr. gets a 15-year extension with Toronto pic.twitter.com/SDrg78uRWF

— FAX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFAX) March 27, 2025

While the exact cause of the impasse remains unclear, reports suggest a $50 million gap is the sticking point. Guerrero is seeking north of $600 million, while the team has yet to go beyond $550 million. So, the claim of a finalized $600 million deal? Completely fabricated. For context, Juan Soto landed a $765 million contract, and Guerrero’s numbers are at least comparable. Guerrero has 507 career RBIs, while Soto has 597. Guerrero’s .863 OPS is solid, though it falls short of Soto’s .953. The Blue Jays will likely have to break the bank to keep Guerrero beyond 2025—but even that might not be enough. Why?

A successful postseason run can retain Guerrero

Vlad Guerrero Jr. had one more zinger: A winning team,” said MLB insider Rob Longley. Guerrero is in his sixth season with the Jays, yet he’s still searching for postseason success. Toronto hasn’t won a World Series since 1993—a drought that spans over three decades. Guerrero has been the brightest part of the franchise in recent years, and his 2024 season was his most productive yet, with 103 RBIs and 30 home runs. His efficiency improved significantly, yet the Jays finished fifth in the AL East with a 74-88 record. A player of his caliber shouldn’t be stuck on a struggling team. 

The Blue Jays will not only extend Vladimir Guerrero Jr,” MLB insider Stephen Nesbitt predicted. “15 years, $600 million with deferrals. But will ride his bat to a Wild Card berth and the club’s first ALDS appearance since 2016.

Quite a bold take. However, a contending stint this year might help the Jays retain Guerrero even with $50m less. The Blue Jays are in the middle of an unsettled yet promising season, with new talents like Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leading the charge and a stronger supporting cast than last year’s disappointing campaign. Whether they rebuild or push for a postseason berth depends on how the season unfolds. Key contributors like Anthony Santander and Alejandro Kirk could be the pieces needed to make a playoff push.

The stakes are higher than ever for the Blue Jays this year. A good run in 2025 can solve a few issues for them.

Do you think Guerrero will end up with the Jays? Share your views with us below.

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