What a remarkable week it has been in The Principality for the last two men standing. On one hand, there’s Carlos Alcaraz, who left his poor Miami form behind to make it to his maiden final at the Monte Carlo Masters, outclassing compatriot Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the semis. And then we have a first-time Masters 1000 finalist, Italian Lorenzo Musetti. Contrary to expectations, when many were vouching for an in-form Alex de Minaur to win the SF battle, Musetti stunned the Aussie and accomplished his best run yet in a professional ATP event. But who will clinch Sunday’s summit clash? Let’s try to find out.
Carlos Alcaraz v Lorenzo Musetti: Preview
Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t been able to maintain consistency in 2025 despite showing great form in most events. Back in January, he managed to reach the Australian Open R8 but failed to move forward after losing to Novak Djokovic. He, however, bounced back quickly, clinching the ATP Rotterdam title, his first on indoor hard court, defeating Alex de Minaur in the final. Then at the Qatar Open, Alcaraz reached the QF round before losing against Jiri Lehecka.
In last month’s Indian Wells, the Spaniard was hoping to make it a three-peat, as he had lifted the trophy in the last two editions of the tournament in 2023 and 2024. But his dream was shattered after a crushing defeat against eventual winner Jack Draper in the SF. In the next event of the Sunshine Double, the Miami Open, Alcaraz crashed out of the opening round itself. Belgian David Goffin ousted him with a score line of 5-7, 6-4, 6-3. However, the four-time Slam winner and the former No.1 has regained his form at Monte Carlo.
Speaking of the other Monte Carlo finalist, Italy’s Lorenzo Musetti has had an average season so far. Back in January, he began the year with a QF run at the Hong Kong Open. But in the next event, the Australian Open, he failed to go past the third round. Then in Argentina, he delivered a promising performance, reaching the R8, but failed to impress in all the subsequent tournaments.
In the two Sunshine Double events (Indian Wells and Miami Open), Musetti was ousted early, in R32 and R16, respectively. But the Italian seems to have found his form back lately. The 23-year-old outclassed Aussie Alex de Minaur on Saturday, in the SF, to register his spot in an ATP Masters 1000 event’s final battle for the first time.
Alcaraz vs Musetti: Head-to-Head
Both players have met each other four times so far. Currently, Alcaraz is comfortably leading the h2h tally 3-1. He’s been the winner among the two on the last three occasions when they had a face-off across various events.
2024 Miami Open R16: Alcaraz 6-3, 6-3
2023 China Open R16: Alcaraz 6-2, 6-2
2023 French Open R16: Alcaraz 6-3, 6-2, 6-2
2022 German Open Final: Musetti 6-4, 6-7(6), 6-4
Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz to win Monte Carlo Masters in straight sets
Carlos Alcaraz has an impressive win-loss record of 19-4 this season. It gives him a clear edge over Musetti, who has won 12 of his 16 ATP encounters in 2025. When it comes to event history, it’s only the second Monte Carlo campaign for Alcaraz. His debut came three years ago in the 2022 edition. Back then, however, the 21-year-old couldn’t even win a match in The Principality. He crashed out in the second round after losing to Sebastian Korda. The current edition has marked his best run yet, as he has made it to the summit clash.
On the other hand, Musetti has played quite a lot at the Monte Carlo Masters. His best campaign came in the 2023 edition when he reached the QF before losing to Jannik Sinner. But in other appearances, he failed to impress much. In last season as well, he couldn’t go past the pre-quarterfinals, losing to Novak Djokovic 7-5, 6-3.
Coming to their playing styles, Alcaraz is widely famous for his unparalleled on-court athleticism. Combine that with his ability to stun the opponents with remarkable drop shots. Plus, he can also hit powerful groundstrokes to gain points in long rallies. Especially on the clay. Going into the Monte Carlo final, the Spaniard has won 16 of his last 17 clay-court matches.
Speaking of Musetti, he’s got a solid one-handed backhand to build pressure on rivals. However, he just doesn’t depend on speed and power alone. The Italian can also hit drop shots to earn points through long rallies. And he can also cover the court well, meaning his baseline game is as balanced as his near-the-net performance.
Considering his overall form this season and h2h stats, Carlos Alcaraz has an edge over Musetti. The prediction is for Acaraz to win this match in straight sets and lift his first-ever Monte Carlo Masters trophy on Sunday.
The post Monte Carlo Masters 2025 Final: Carlos Alcaraz v Lorenzo Musetti; Preview, Head-to-Head, and Prediction appeared first on EssentiallySports.
